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A licence is not a business model.

The funding winter pushed fintechs toward a tempting shortcut: buy a struggling microfinance bank, inherit the deposit licence, skip the queue. But a licence purchase is a balance-sheet purchase, and Kenya's microfinance sector is a public ledger of how expensive that parchment can be.

By The Precursor Editorial Team, Investor Corner · 5 min read,
A licence is not a business model.

Illustration: Precursor

Whenever a well-funded fintech hits the ceiling of what it can legally do as an unregulated payment gateway or non-deposit-taking lender, a tempting shortcut surfaces in the boardroom: buy a struggling microfinance bank. For a few million dollars, the pitch goes, the startup acquires a central bank deposit-taking licence, plugs its app into the regulated core, sweeps up cheap retail deposits to fund its loan book and bypasses years of greenfield licensing delays. The shortcut has become more tempting as global venture funding tightened, because a licence acquisition converts an uncertain regulatory timeline into a single negotiated price. What it does not convert is the economics underneath.

Look at the financial wreckage across Kenya's microfinance banking sector and the shortcut reads differently. According to the Central Bank of Kenya's Bank Supervision Annual Report 2025, licensed microfinance banks recorded a cumulative pre-tax loss of KSh2.9 billion in the year to December 2025, narrowing only slightly from a KSh3.5 billion loss in 2024, with most institutions bleeding capital and the sector's agency network shrinking from 540 to 432 outlets as lenders struggled to contain operating costs. Buying a distressed regulated institution means acquiring far more than a framed parchment: you buy its historic balance-sheet holes, its expensive funding structure, its brick-and-mortar leases and a statutory capital call that software cannot code away.

Buying the historical balance sheet alongside the regulatory parchment.

On 29 July 2022, the Central Bank of Kenya announced that US-backed digital financial services firm UMBA Inc. had acquired a 66.06 per cent controlling stake in Daraja Microfinance Bank, effective 1 July 2022. Licensed in January 2015 as a community microfinance bank operating out of Dagoretti Corner with less than 1 per cent of sector market share, Daraja offered an immediate regulated foothold, and the central bank welcomed the capital injection as a catalyst to digitise the institution.

Every fintech executive contemplating a similar acquisition across East or West Africa needs to separate regulatory permission from commercial capability. A microfinance bank licence is not a Tier-1 commercial bank licence; it carries distinct statutory single-obligor limits, foreign-exchange restrictions and clearing-house dependencies. And a low headline acquisition price for equity is usually just the entry ticket to a much larger recapitalisation bill. Once the buyer steps inside the vault, statutory core-capital ratios, legacy tax liabilities and under-provisioned bad loans demand fresh hard currency from the acquirer's investors before a single shilling can be lent through the new app.

Examining the deposit liability before celebrating cheap funding.

Fintech founders accustomed to raising equity or wholesale debt often talk about taking deposits as if retail savers are waiting in line to hand over free money. On a bank balance sheet, a deposit is not revenue. It is an on-demand liability owed to the public, and it behaves like one at the worst possible moment.

Most distressed microfinance banks survive by paying punitive rates of 12 to 16 per cent per annum to attract lumpy, short-term fixed deposits from a handful of price-sensitive institutional savers, SACCOs and wealthy individuals. Launching a colourful app does not persuade ordinary Kenyans to move salary accounts or core savings out of trusted Tier-1 banks or M-PESA into a tiny brand they have never heard of. If the acquirer funds three-month or twelve-month digital SME loans with volatile 30-day fixed deposits, the first rumour of a system glitch or regulatory penalty can trigger a wholesale deposit run that leaves the bank illiquid inside a week. Before buying a bank, an acquirer should benchmark the full capital and operating cost of ownership against a structured banking-as-a-service or balance-sheet partnership with an incumbent. A partner bank takes a fee split and limits operational control, but it spares the fintech from funding statutory liquidity ratios, deposit-protection levies and brick-and-mortar supervision.

Revaluing the legacy loan book and budgeting the transition twice.

Due diligence inside a distressed microfinance bank requires looking past digital summaries to the physical paper in the basement. A statistical model can rescore historical repayment rows, and an optical document reader can summarise scanned loan files in minutes. Neither tool can cure a missing chattel-mortgage registration, a forged guarantor signature or a chronic loan rolled over three times to hide a default. And turning an automated migration script loose to move legacy ledger balances into a modern cloud core without manual parallel reconciliation can corrupt depositor balances and bring immediate central bank enforcement.

Closing branches to go fully digital is rarely a free cost cut either. Where a branch in Dagoretti or Nakuru holds the personal relationships that keep group borrowers repaying and local merchants depositing physical cash, boarding up the building shifts those costs into rising defaults, third-party agency commissions and call-centre disputes. Across an 18-to-24-month turnaround, the buyer must budget to run two banks at once: maintaining the legacy core, branch leases and compliance remediation while funding the new engineering team, cloud stack and customer acquisition.

Any acquisition case should rest on a stressed 24-month capital and liquidity runway that assumes zero cheap retail deposit growth in year one and a 30 per cent additional haircut on the inherited loan portfolio, backed by an independent pre-close forensic audit. At the first full-year post-acquisition board review in 2027, the chief financial officer should report the standalone earnings and cost of funds of the newly originated digital book, stripped of one-off shareholder injections and legacy provision releases. Buying a licence gets you into the central bank's waiting room. Building a solvent deposit franchise is where the real bill lands on the table.

The Precursor Editorial Team

Precursor is published by the FinTech Association of Kenya and exercises independent editorial judgement under the Editorial Independence Charter. This article is labelled Independent: no commercial party reviewed it before publication.

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